000			01338nam a22001577a 4500
020			_a9783030184360
082			_a303.49 _bGOR
100			_aGordon, Theodore J.
245			_aFuture Studies and Counterfactual Analysis: _bSeeds of the Future/ _cTheodore J. Gordon, and Mariana Todorova
260			_aSwitxerland: _bPalgrave MacMillan, _c2019.
300			_axii, 194 p.
500			_aIn this volume, the authors contribute to futures research by placing the counterfactual question in the future tense. They explore the possible outcomes of future, and consider how future decisions are turning points that may produce different global outcomes. This book focuses on a dozen or so intractable issues that span politics, religion, and technology, each addressed in individual chapters. Until now, most scenarios written by futurists have been built on cause and effect narratives or depended on numerical models derived from historical relationships. In contrast, many of the scenarios written for this book are point descriptions of future discontinuities, a form allows more thought-provoking presentations. Ultimately, this book demonstrates that counterfactual thinking and point scenarios of discontinuities are new, groundbreaking tools for futurists.
650			_aFuture Studies
700			_aTodorova, Mariana
942			_cCR
999			_c663425 _d663425